Development in Western Europe continues to focus on large cities, while activity in the Central and Eastern European market is focused on smaller cities and suburban areas. European retail park floorspace increased by 2.2% in 2018, reaching 50.1 million sq.m. Physical retail undergoing significant evolution due to the growth of online shopping
New research from Cushman & Wakefield has revealed European retail park floorspace increased by 2.2% in 2018, reaching a total of 50.1 million square metres (sq.m), with France and Spain leading the way in terms of new schemes.
Cushman & Wakefield’s ‘European Retail Parks: What’s next’ report states that 995,000 sq.m of new retail park space was completed in Europe last year, down 15% on 2017. A stable development trend is expected going forward, with 1.4 million sq.m of new retail park space scheduled for opening in 2019/2020. Nevertheless, quick and easy construction and a growing number of schemes below 5,000 sq.m are expected to boost the number of openings.
The report has highlighted that physical retail is very much alive - but it is undergoing a significant evolution because of the growth in online shopping and the out-of-town market is not immune. However, the retail warehouse market has so far proved resilient, with affordability, flexibility, convenience and accessibility the main attractions for new retail park occupiers and shoppers.
As the retail park market moves towards maturity, development trends vary across Europe. In Western Europe, development remains focused on large cities with strong catchment areas and high pedestrian flows. However, some retailers are also developing their own small retail parks, offering spaces to other brands and activities.
In Central and Eastern Europe, development is turning to smaller schemes in smaller cities and suburban areas, in addition to secondary and tertiary locations. In countries such as Bulgaria, market conditions are now changing, and retailers are looking to expand in second and third tier cities. This provides an opportunity for small-to-medium sized retail parks with easy access, affordable rents and good quality tenant mix.
The report states that the location strategies of big box occupiers in some countries are evolving to incorporate smaller units in suburban areas in order to get closer to potential customers, as public transport use takes priority over the car in very large cities and some shoppers focus increasingly on convenience and proximity.
Top ten countries for new retail park space in 2018 (Source: Cushman & Wakefield Research)
Total retail park floorspace in Western Europe amounted to 44.4 million sq.m as of 1st January 2019, with Germany, the UK and France remaining the largest markets in the region, accounting for more than 74% of total retail park space. Overall, 1.3 million sq.m of new retail space is expected to open in 2019/2020, a 21% decline on 2018/2019.
While retail park development in France has been decelerating, down 22% from 2017, the volume of annual completions surpassed that of shopping centres which has been declining at an increasing rate (-28%). The improved design of the new generation of retail parks has also contributed to the appeal of these schemes to occupiers and visitors alike. This is reflected in the development pipeline, with 782,000 sq.m of new retail park space currently under construction and expected to open in 2019/2020, representing 54% of the total development pipeline in Europe.
Retail park development in the UK is set to remain stable, with consumers still attached to the convenience and accessibility provided by out-of-town retail locations.
Southern Europe has seen varied trends in regard to development. Spain experienced an exceptionally strong year for development in 2018, with 165,000 sq.m delivered - four times higher than in 2017. In Portugal meanwhile, there was limited activity.
Central & Eastern Europe
In 2018, 219,000 sq.m of new retail space was delivered in Central and Eastern Europe, representing a 17% increase on 2017. The Czech Republic, Romania and Poland remain the largest retail park markets, accounting for 66% of the total retail park market in the region. The report states that there is an ongoing shift towards local retail park schemes serving only their primary town or the closest regional catchment.
Development activity was strongest in Romania, where 76,000 sq.m of new space was delivered. The size of the market in Romania is comparable with the Czech Republic, although with twice the population, retail park density remains at a lower level.
Over the last two years, retail park development in Poland has accelerated. Approximately 74,000 sq.m of new retail park space was completed in 2018 - representing a 21% annual increase - as the format becomes increasingly positioned as a way of attracting shoppers. Development is also rising in Slovakia, where interest is supported by demand from consumers in smaller towns and suburban areas who are looking for more convenient shopping facilities.
Development of new retail parks to increase 50% in 2016 compared to floorspace added in 2015. Nature of retailers changing as new entrants diversif
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